Abstract
The complex metallurgical interrelationships in the production of ductile cast iron can lead to enormous differences in graphite formation and local microstructure by small variations during production. Artificial intelligence algorithms were used to describe graphite formation, which is influenced by a variety of metallurgical parameters. Moreover, complex physical relationships in the formation of graphite morphology are also controlled by boundary conditions of processing, the effect of which can hardly be assessed in everyday foundry operations. The influence of relevant input parameters can be predetermined using artificial intelligence based on conditions and patterns that occur simultaneously. By predicting the local graphite formation, measures to stabilise production were defined and thereby the accuracy of structure simulations improved. In course of this work, the most important dominating variables, from initial charging to final casting, were compiled and analysed with the help of statistical regression methods to predict the nodularity of graphite spheres. We compared the accuracy of the prediction by using Linear Regression, Gaussian Process Regression, Regression Trees, Boosted Trees, Support Vector Machines, Shallow Neural Networks and Deep Neural Networks. As input parameters we used 45 characteristics of the production process consisting of the basic information including the composition of the charge, the overheating time, the type of melting vessel, the type of the inoculant, the fading, and the solidification time. Additionally, the data of several thermal analysis, oxygen activity measurements and the final chemical analysis were included.Initial programme designs using machine learning algorithms based on neural networks achieved encouraging results. To improve the degree of accuracy, this algorithm was subsequently adapted and refined for the nodularity of graphite.
Highlights
In recent years microstructure modelling with commercial software packages has become state of the art
This simple model obtained a R2 for predicting the nodularity of 0.69 and a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 14.3
Using a rational quadratic Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) the model improved to a R2 of 0.84 and a RMSE of 9.8
Summary
In recent years microstructure modelling with commercial software packages has become state of the art. The correct knowledge of the mechanical properties of a given casting is important to improve its functionalities and reduce weight, for example in the instance of design improvement using topology optimisation methods [1, 2]. In the case of ferritic-perlitic nodular cast iron grades, local microstructural properties could not be satisfactorily calculated. Graphite formation is strongly responsible for the resulting properties of an iron casting [4,5,6]. The theoretical background for the description of nucleation and graphite formation in iron-carbon alloys is well documented. In collective works by Bauer [4], Herfurth [7] and Stefanescu [8], the most important hypotheses on the formation of graphite morphologies are elucidated
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