Abstract
Article examines the contribution of tourism to the regional economy through construction of the value added chain. The results of research of an integrated model of formation of the tourism industry contribution to regional surplus product; the augmented and transformed model of the tourism product; the characteristic of ‘inputs’ and ‘outputs’ in the production and marketing of regional tourism product testing carried out on the model example of the Kaliningrad region of Russia. The authors apply the logic-structural method in strategic planning and management of socio-economic systems. In the constructed ‘problem tree’, hierarchically represented a causal link between negative or adverse events that hinder or even will prevent future development of the tourism industry. Developed and described scenarios for the tourism industry (project-ambitious, compensation, basic). The factors that will have the greatest impact on the development of tourism in terms of solving regional problems of the economy ‘transition period’ after the end of the Special Economic Zone, operating in 2006-2016, were grounded. In order to assess the contribution of tourism to the regional economy it is not enough to rely solely on the statistics. This is due to the fact that there are no universal formulas for the isolation of the share is created by tourism in a number of sectors that make up the value chain for tourism. Such activities include catering services, transport services etc. Value added of tourism is directly dependent on the scenario conditions that underpin the development. DOI: 10.5901/mjss.2015.v6n3s5p275
Highlights
Russian, and the world economy is going through difficult times
As well as by our own research we have developed a comprehensive model of the regional tourism industry surplus product (Figure 2)
On the basis of the identified problems of the tourism industry and according to the expert estimates of the probability of their gains or attenuations three scenarios for the development of this sector in the Kaliningrad region have been developed: 1. “Project-based” and ambitious scenario was developed on the basis of increased investment in the region with the aim to create new tourist attractions - the flagship tourist and recreational projects that contribute to the inflow of Russian tourists as well as foreigners; effective use of all the infrastructure developed in connection with the FIFA World Cup- 2018, addressing transport accessibility of the region for tourists from Russia at the federal level
Summary
Russian, and the world economy is going through difficult times now. According to the forecast of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), it waits for a slow recovery under the influence of the United States, restraining by the threat of the recession in Europe and by the challenges of the large developing economies. − to pairwise allocated similar problems (problems related to the same issues); − from the each of pairs there is released a causal factor, and a factor that is a consequence of this one or groups of factors; − analyzed pairwise factors are hierarchically placed in the upper part of the scheme (‘Consequences’) or lower (‘Reasons’), providing a logical connection between the totality of the factors influencing the development of the tourism industry in the Kaliningrad region. In this case, the same reasons may contribute to the emergence of different effects. ‘The problem tree’ of the recreation and tourism sector of the Kaliningrad region 279
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