Abstract

Precipitation patterns are highly valued in the fields of weather forecasting, water resource management, and estuary environment research. In this study, daily and monthly precipitation TRMM data from 1998 to 2019 were selected, and EOF analysis was employed to analyze the precipitation patterns of the Taiwan Strait and its neighboring regions. We obtained the following results: (1) The rainy season (May–June) is the main contributor to precipitation in the study area. The EOF first mode reflected the overall consistency of the precipitation spatial distribution. However, within each river basin, the magnitude of precipitation variation is spatially different. The magnitude of precipitation variation is significant in the northwestern part of the Minjiang River basin, the southwestern part of the Jiulong River basin, and the southwestern corner of the Hanjiang River basin. These areas happen to correspond to the mountain areas, revealing that topographic precipitation plays a role in the spatial distribution of precipitation in the three river basins. (2) The spatial distributions of the EOF first mode and of precipitation during El Niño in the Minjiang River basin are consistent. This reveals that ENSO is probably the dominant factor in precipitation in the Minjiang River basin. The significant increase in precipitation during El Niño compared with a normal year in the Minjiang River basin confirms this point. (3) In all three strong El Niño years, 1998, 2010, and 2016, the Minjiang River basin experienced significant heavy precipitation in the fall and winter, whereas the Jiulong River and Hanjiang River basins did not (except in 2016). In other words, the Minjiang River basin is more affected by ENSO, while the Jiulong River and Hanjiang River basins are only limitedly impacted by ENSO.

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