Application of precipitation products for flood modeling of transboundary river basin: a case study of Jhelum Basin

Abstract

The main objective of this study is the flood modeling of the River Jhelum Basin in the Jammu and Kashmir using the Integrated Flood Analysis System (IFAS) hydrological model. The region having an area of 33,000 km2 has a limited rain gauge coverage. The data inaccessibility is accentuated due to the mountainous topography, glaciers, and remote areas. This research makes innovative use of the Asian Precipitation - Highly-Resolved Observational Data Integration Towards Evaluation (APHRODITE) dataset to overcome the data scarcity for the basin. For flood modeling, a regionalized approach was adopted, whereby the four main tributaries of the River Jhelum Basin were separately modeled. The parameters, thus, determined, were later used in the modeling of the River Jhelum, the main river of the basin. The model was calibrated on the medium-high flood of 2010 and validated on the very high flood of 2014, obtaining good results as indicated by Nash–Sutcliffe Model Efficiency Coefficient (NSE) of 0.77. Later, the model was executed using the Global Satellite Mapping of Precipitation (GSMaP). It performed adequately for the high flood event of 2014, while for the flood of 2010, it gave poor results. Besides, this study also demonstrates the efficacy of a new generation of computer models that work by accessing the free global datasets available on the web for hydrological modeling.