Abstract

Abstract PRA methodology has been used to analyze the effectiveness of different emergency response strategies in reducing the health consequences of hypothetical large releases of radioactivity from a nuclear power plant. A few years ago the graded response, i.e. evacuate the innermost two miles or so zone near the plant and shelter from two to ten miles, was found to be a particularly effective emergency response. In the graded response, typically 93% to 99% of the emergency planning zone population, would take shelter. With such emphasis on sheltering and with a significant improvement in public protection relative to a massive evacuation response, the public may accept this emergency response as both feasible and effective. Very recent analyses may justify even smaller inner zones, approaching an ‘all sheltering’ response.

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