Abstract

Production cost forecasting is an important basis for cost accounting, cost decision-making, and cost planning. It is the scale necessary to reduce product costs and an important way to enhance enterprise competitiveness and improve system benefits. A neural network based on multisource information fusion is a manifestation of integrated internal knowledge. By learning to integrate multiple sources of information, it is easier to understand cognitive thinking and integrate the complex relationships of uncertain regions into regular signals. Fusion prediction does not need to understand the specific mechanism of the process but can fully approximate various nonlinear functional relationships determined by input and output with the continuous update of its internal weights. This paper mainly studies the application of neural network based on multisource information fusion in production cost prediction, analyzes the technology of multisource information fusion, and proposes a method of applying multisource information fusion theory to BP neural network and RBF network. Experiments have proved that through the comparison of the results of the BP neural network and the RBF network, for the six cost categories, compared with the BP neural network, the prediction results of the RBF network are closer to the true value, and they all show higher prediction capabilities. Among them, the error of the RBF network in predicting the total salary of the current month is 0.01004. The performance of the RBF network model is better than that of the BP neural network model.

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