Abstract
The wave of yellow fever that has been moving westward and northward through Central America since its origin in eastern Panama in 1948 is at present (March, 1955) dormant in northwestern Honduras. Since the clinical recognition of two recovery cases in human patients whose infection was acquired in the vicinity of La Ceiba, Honduras, in August, 1954, and a somewhat anomalous human fatality in the city of San Pedro Sula near La Lima, Honduras, late in September, the wave has been in a silent phase. This quiescence during the dry season, or winter months, has been a fairly constant characteristic of the epidemiologic pattern during involvement of the Atlantic watershed of the countries successively involved. It is anticipated that the next epidemic outbreak will occur in the vicinity of Los Amates, Department of Izabal, in the Motagua Valley of northern Guatemala in July, 1955. This prediction is based upon the epidemiologic pattern of the wave as exhibited since 1948.
Published Version
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