Abstract

The southern part of the Karoo Basin of South Africa contains a near complete stratigraphic record of the Permo-Triassic boundary (PTB). Isotope- and magneto-stratigraphy confirm that these predominantly fluvial strata are approximately the same age as zircon-dated marine PTB sections (252Mya). By August 2013, our team had found 579 in situ vertebrate fossils, mostly of the clade Therapsida, in PTB exposures at three widely separated locations in the southern Karoo Basin. Biostratigraphic ranges of the various taxa found in each of the sections reveal three separate phases of die-off within the same roughly 75 metre-thick stratigraphic interval displaying the same sequence of sedimentary facies interpreted as indicative of climatic drying, increased seasonality and the onset of an unpredictable monsoon-type rainfall regime. The three phases of an inferred ecologically-stepped mass extinction are: Phase 1 (45m–30m below PTB datum) brought on by lowered watertables, which led to loss of shallow rooting groundcover in the more elevated proximal floodplain areas and the disappearance of the smaller groundcover-grazing herbivorous dicynodonts and their attendant small carnivores. Phase 2 (20–0m below PTB datum), is the main extinction that occurs in massive maroon/grey mudrock culminating in an event bed of laminated reddish-brown siltstone/mudstone couplets. This facies reflects progressively unreliable rainfall leading to vegetation loss in proximal and distal floodplain areas. The larger tree-browsing herbivores and their attendant carnivores are confined to watercourses before finally disappearing. Phase 3 (25–30m above PTB datum) occurs in massive maroon siltstone facies with evidence of climatic aridity including the accumulation of mummified carcasses buried by windblown dust. All of the surviving Permian taxa disappear within 30m of the PTB.Temporal resolution based on accretion rates and pedogenic maturity of each stratigraphic section reveals that Phase 1 and Phase 2 die-offs lasted 21000 and 33000years separated by a short period of 7000years where no disappearances are recorded and this was followed by 50000years of stasis for the final extinction phase, lasting only 8000years, that removed all the Permian survivor taxa,. We propose that the recorded disappearances are real (rather than preferential preservation failure) and that they represent drought-induced die-offs moving progressively up the food chain as the terrestrial ecosystem collapsed; the latter mostly likely caused by volcanogenic greenhouse gas emissions and rapid global warming.

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