Analyzing Factors that Affect Rice Import Volume in Indonesia

Anita Permatasari

doi:10.7176/jesd/11-10-01

Abstract

There are four factors that can affect the volume of rice import in Indonesia, they are rice production, gross domestic production (PDB), rice consumption, and increasing population of Indonesian citizens. The study applies qualitative method. The data used in study is secondary data within years of research from 2014 to 2018. Independent variables in this study are rice production (PRODUKSI), gross domestic product (PDP), consumption of rice (KONSUMSI), total population of Indonesian citizens (PENDUDUK). The dependent variable in this study is rice import (IMPORT). The result of study reveals that production of rice (PRODUKSI), gross domestic product (PDP), riceconsumption (KONSUMSI), do not affect toward rice import from 2014 to 2018 period. Meanwhile, total population of Indonesian citizens (PENDUDUK) affect number of rice import in Indonesia from 2014 to 2018. Keywords: rice production, gross domestic product, rice consumption, total population, and rice import. DOI: 10.7176/JESD/11-10-01 Publication date: May 31 st 2020

Highlights

Indonesia is an agrarian country, whereas most of its people occupation is farmer and plantation business
There are several factors that can affect the volume of rice import in Indonesia; they are rice production, gross domestic production (PDB), rice consumption, and increasing population of Indonesian citizens
Predictors: (Constant), Inhabitant, Comsumptio, PDB, Production The result of R2 displayed in table 4 reveals the impact of rice production (PRODUKSI), gross domestic product (PDB), rice consumption (KONSUMSI), total population (PENDUDUK) of Indonesian citizens from 2014 to 2018 is 84,734 within signification level of 0,000

Summary

Introduction

Indonesia is an agrarian country, whereas most of its people occupation is farmer and plantation business. Agriculture sector is expected to be able to cover all food demands from society, government will stop importing rice from another country. There are several factors that can affect the volume of rice import in Indonesia; they are rice production, gross domestic production (PDB), rice consumption, and increasing population of Indonesian citizens. Increasing rice production which is periodically performed by government is expected to cover food demands among society. Increasing volume of domestic production is expected to lower rice importing action. The increasing number of population could be controlled if government is able to control its population that will lower the volume of imported rice. There are several impacts that must be considered by government, one of them is the transforming plantation into industrial area that forced farmer to sell their land in order to build regency, office, or other industrial building At the end, it will weaken the national food security. Basic and equation model used in this study are, as follow; IMPORit= 0 + PRODUKSI+ PDB+ KONSUMSI+ PENDUDUK+eit Note: Importit

Residual

Findings

Conclusion

VI.References