Analysis of the Spatial Distribution Characteristics of Urban Resilience and Its Influencing Factors: A Case Study of 56 Cities in China.

Zhang Zhang,Cai Cai,Liu Liu,Gao Gao,Wang Wang,Chen Chen,Li Li

doi:10.3390/ijerph16224442

Abstract

The healthy development of the city has received widespread attention in the world, and urban resilience is an important issue in the study of urban development. In order to better provide a useful reference for urban resilience and urban health development, this paper takes 56 cities in China as the research object, and selects 29 indicators from urban infrastructure, economy, ecology and society. The combination weight method, exploratory spatial data analysis (ESDA) and spatial measurement model are used to explore the spatial distribution of urban resilience and its influencing factors. From 2006 to 2017, the urban resilience of prefecture-level cities in the four provinces showed a wave-like rise. During the study period, the urban resilience values, measured as Moran’s Is, were greater than 0.3300, showing a significantly positive correlation in regard to their spatial distribution. Regarding the local spatial correlation, the urban resilience of the study area had spatial agglomeration characteristics within the province, with a significant distribution of “cold hot spots” in the spatial distribution. From the perspective of the factors that affected urban resilience, the proportion of the actual use of foreign capital in GDP and carbon emissions per 10,000 CNY of GDP had a negative impact and GDP per square kilometer, the proportion of urban pension insurance coverage, the proportion of the population with higher education, and expenditure to maintain and build cities had a positive impact. The development strategy of urban resilience must be combined with the actual situation of the region, and the rational resilience performance evaluation system and the top-level design of urban resilience improvement should be formulated to comprehensively improve urban resilience.

Highlights

The city is a complex system of the integration of society, economy, ecology and infrastructure and their roles are gaining increasing attention worldwide [1,2,3]
The cause may be that Jiangsu Province is located in the southeast coastal area where China’s economy is rapidly rising, and the city’s infrastructure improvement, economic structure, social development level and ecological control measures are better than those of the central and western regions, indicating that Jiangsu Province can respond quickly and better during corresponding shocks, and its adaptive ability is stronger than that of cities in the central and western regions
The above variables are the main factors affecting the urban resilience of the study area, and the interpretation degree of resilience was 87.99%

Summary

Introduction

The city is a complex system of the integration of society, economy, ecology and infrastructure and their roles are gaining increasing attention worldwide [1,2,3]. In China, where urbanization is placed strategically, the role played by cities has become more critical and obvious [4,5]. China’s reform and opening up, the level of urbanization has increased by nearly 1% every year [6]. Urban space expansion is the main feature of China’s urbanization process [7,8]. Since the beginning of the 21st century, as the pace of urban development in China has accelerated [9,10], urban activities. Res. Public Health 2019, 16, 4442; doi:10.3390/ijerph16224442 www.mdpi.com/journal/ijerph

Methods

Results

Conclusion