Abstract

China envisages building a new undersea tunnel called Bohai Strait Tunnel to connect Dalian to Yantai, for the purpose of solving the detour problem in transportation. This paper analyses the passenger traffic in Bohai Strait Tunnel. A modified negative exponent network flow assignment model and an increasing rate method are used to predict the network flow assignment and passenger traffic volume after the completion of Bohai Strait Tunnel in 2050. Two formulas of economic benefits are employed to evaluate the effect of undersea tunnel on passenger traffic. The result indicates that the new undersea tunnel can shorten the distance, reduce the transport cost, save travel time, and produce good economic benefits. Tunnel transportation will attract a large number of passengers and become main transportation way. The analysis result can provide technical storage and references for the future undersea tunnel construction.

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