Analysis of Long Time Series of Polar Motion

Abstract

AbstractTwo long time series of polar motion were analysed with respect to a linear drift, decadal variations, Chandler wobble and annual wobble: the C01 series published by the International Earth Rotation Service (IERS) and the pole series which J. Vondrák, obtained by re-analysis of the classical astronomical observations using the HIPPARCOS reference frame (1899.7–1992.0). By a least-squares fit the linear drift of the pole, usually called ‘secular polar motion,’ was determined to 3.31 milliarcseconds/year (mas/yr) toward 76.1° West longitude. For this fit the a priori correlations within each pair of pole coordinates were taken into account, and the weighting function was calculated by estimation of empirical variance components. The decadal variations of the pole path were determined by Fourier analysis. Using a sliding window analysis, the variability of the periods, the amplitudes and the phases of the Chandler wobble and annual wobble was investigated. The variances of the results and the number of iterations needed to get a convergence in the nonlinear approach show that the new time series by Vondrák is more homogeneous and consistent than the IERS C01 series.