Analysis of Interdependence of Arctic Critical Infrastructures as Transportation Networks

Abstract

The Arctic zone of the Russian Federation (AZRF) is characterized by the specificity of the development of its interconnected critical infrastructures’ objects (ICI) - power generation and transmission systems, social infrastructure facilities, transportation (land, air, water) and communication systems, by the exceptional importance of their stable operation. The spatial isolation of the ICI objects predetermines, practically for each municipality, formation of its specific configuration, defining the range of needed capacities, corresponding set of ICI objects, etc. The main functional of Arctic ICI objects is to provide and sustain life support. Authors developed a model that permits high resolution description of ICI operation on the local level. The accuracy of the model is enough, especially for describing electrical and water supply grids and nets. Its substantial advantage is the generality of its mathematical description of the ICI of different physical nature and its capacity to account for the randomness of ICI parameters. The model permits simulation of the ICI behavior on the local level when exposed to ordinary, everyday conditions and in emergency situations (i.e., during an industrial disaster, Natural catastrophe or a terrorist attack). Several specific problems were solved using this approach for the AZRF region.