Abstract

It is the problem how to search the main factors in various factors on accident. The gray correlation can not only improve the efficiency of the data which have existed, but also remedy the limitation of that carrying out systems analysis by mathematical statistics. From the overall perspective of human-machine-environment, accident prediction model is established and the influencing factors are analyzed of accidents in this paper. The grey correlation degree of the influencing factors is calculated. At last, prediction model of examples is examined. The result shows that the model is applicable and reliable in forecasting the main factors and the relations between them, thus providing reference for traffic administrative department to avoid traffic accidents.

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