Analysis of Factors Influencing Carbon Emissions from Civil Aviation Transportation Based on LMDI and STIRPAT Models

Abstract

AbstractThe analysis of factors influencing the carbon emissions of civil aviation transport is of great significance to the low-carbon development of civil aviation transport. In order to quantify the relationship between the change of carbon emission of civil aviation transportation and each influencing factor, this paper decomposes the total carbon emission of civil aviation transportation into four influencing factors through LMDI model. Among them, population size, GDP per capita and turnover per unit of GDP contribute to the growth of carbon emissions, with contribution rates of 5.04%, 81.73% and 21.03%. Respectively, while energy consumption per unit of turnover inhibits the growth of carbon emissions, with a contribution rate of −7.81%. In order to deeply study the change response relationship among the influencing factors of civil aviation transportation carbon emission, the regression equation between civil aviation transportation carbon emission and each influencing factor was obtained by constructing STIRPAT model and ridge regression analysis. Finally, based on the analysis of each influencing factor, targeted suggestions and measures are proposed for energy saving and emission reduction in civil aviation transportation industry. KeywordsLMDISTIRPATCivil aviation transportCarbon emissions