ANALYSIS OF COVID-19 GROWTH TRENDS THROUGH DATA MINING APPROACH AS DECISION SUPPORT

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the growth trend of covid-19 using prediction algorithms in data mining for covid-19 data throughout Indonesia. This can be used as a decision support to analyze several government policies towards regulatory intervention so far. The method used is the best prediction method in time series data, including Neural Network, SVM, Linear Regression, K-Neirest Neighborn and optimizes it with optimization algorithms. This research is focused on the application of these applications. It is hoped that this research will produce an analysis of the growth trend of Covid cases every day, in addition to its contribution so that it can assist the government in determining the best policy direction and also as an education to the public. in addition, the research will contribute to science in the field of predictive analysis by finding the best RMSE formulation. The results of this study show that Neural Network-Particle Swarm Optimization has the smallest Roort Mean Square Error which is 265,326, and the two Neural Network Genetic Algorithm are 266.801, Neural Network Forward Selection is 275,372 and Neural Network without optimization has the largest RMSE which is 297.204. These results can be used as a reference for the use of similar algorithms in time series data, both Covid-19 data and other data.