Abstract
PurposeIn recent years, China's marine industry has maintained rapid growth in general, and marine-related economic activities have continued to improve. The purpose of this research is to analyze the basic situation of China's marine economy development, identify the problems therein, forecast development trends and propose policy recommendations accordingly.Design/methodology/approachThis research conducts a comprehensive and detailed analysis of the development of China's marine economy with rich data in diversified aspects. The current situation of China's marine economy development is analyzed from the perspective of scale and structure, and the external and internal development environment of China's marine economy is discussed. With the application of measurement and prediction method such as trend extrapolation, exponential smoothing, grey forecasting and neural network method, the future situation of China's marine economy development is forecasted.FindingsIn a complex environment where uncertainties at home and abroad have increased significantly, China's marine economy development suffers tremendous downward pressure in recent years. As China has achieved major achievements in the prevention and control of the COVID-19 epidemic, the marine economy development will gradually return to normal. It is estimated that the gross marine production value in 2022 will exceed 10 trillion yuan. China's marine economy will continue to maintain a steady growth trend in the future, and its development prospects will remain promising.Originality/valueThis research explores the current situation and trends of China's marine economy development and puts forward policy recommendations to promote the steady and health development of China's marine economy accordingly.
Highlights
Marine economic policy and the legal environment3.2.1 Marine economic policy environment in China. Around the national overall planning structure, supporting the development of the marine economy and promoting the construction of marine power, many marine economy and marine science and technology plans have been issued in the field of oceans
In recent years, China’s marine industry has maintained rapid growth in general, and marinerelated economic activities have continued to improve
Around the national overall planning structure, supporting the development of the marine economy and promoting the construction of marine power, many marine economy and marine science and technology plans have been issued in the field of oceans
Summary
3.2.1 Marine economic policy environment in China. Around the national overall planning structure, supporting the development of the marine economy and promoting the construction of marine power, many marine economy and marine science and technology plans have been issued in the field of oceans. The “13th Five-Year Plan for Marine Ecological Environment Protection in Zhejiang Province (2016–2020)” states that, by 2020, the quality of seawater in coastal waters remained stable, and 10 demonstration zones for marine ecological construction at or above the provincial level were established. Guangdong Province proposes to focus on the construction of some concentrated and intensive sea areas, marine industrial agglomeration areas and coastal economic new areas to build a new pattern of marine economy. The “13th Five-Year Plan for Marine Economic Development in Guangdong Province” proposes to build “One Belt, Six Bays, Five Islands Group”, “Three Districts, Three Circles, Two Bases” and “Characteristic Marine Industry Carrier” according to the requirements of land and sea coordination, cluster development and their optimized layout. In January 2019, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, the Ministry of Ecological Environment, and the Ministry of Natural Resources provided some suggestions pertaining to accelerating the green development of aquaculture, so as to solve the problems of unreasonable aquaculture layout and industrial structure in some regions and high aquaculture density in others
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