Analisis Faktor Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Volume Ekspor Kentang pada PT Bumi Sari Lestari Kabupaten Temanggung Jawa Tengah

Abstract

Exports are trading activities or selling goods to other countries with a mutually agreed system. International trade is one of the activities whose role is very important in increasing state income or meeting domestic needs. PT Bumi Sari Lestari is one of the horticultural exporters. It is necessary to know how many export volumes and what factors affect export volumes. This study aims to determine various factors that can affect the volume of potato exports of PT Bumi Sari Lestari, Temanggung, Central Java and predict the export of potatoes in the next few years (2020-2021). The study was conducted in March-May 2020 located at PT Bumi Sari Lestari, Temanggung, Central Java. The method used in this research is a case study. Determination The location of the study was determined intentionally (purposive). The data used in this study are primary data (interviews) and secondary data over the past 5 years (company data and related agencies in 2015-2019). Analysis of the data used in this study uses quantitative descriptive analysis and statistics with linear regression analysis and trend analysis. The variables analyzed include demand, export prices, local prices in Central Java, potato production, inflation, exchange rates and dummy number of importers. Based on the results of the study it can be concluded that the average annual potato export is 595,849 kg. Variable demand, potato export prices and local potato prices, inflation and the US dollar exchange rate simultaneously affect the volume of potato exports. The variable of demand, local price and inflation variables have a partial effect on the export volume of potatoes, while the variable of export price, the exchange rate and the number of importers have no partial effect on the export volume of potatoes. The results of forecasting of PT Bumi Sari Lestari potato exports in 2020 and 2021 were 572,074 kg and 301,818 kg respectively, which were 572,074 kg or decreased by 14.28% every quarter.