An observation of non-stationary response to non-synoptic wind on the Forth Road Bridge

Abstract

The GeoSHM project feasibility study for monitoring the Forth Road Bridge is briefly introduced and the instrumentation summarised. The events of January 9th, 2015 are described, when the bridge was struck by storm Elon, which caused widespread damage across Scotland and led to the temporary closure of the bridge when a van was blown over. During this storm an anomalous large amplitude response was observed.The data for January 9th, 2015 are analysed to show that the extreme response and the corresponding wind are non-stationary and non-Gaussian. Further analysis of the rainfall radar data for the same time shows a line of intense rainfall extending for over 100 ​km, which passes the site of the bridge at exactly the time of the peak response. The rainfall intensity was high enough to indicate that this feature was caused by convective activity and this observation was corroborated by records of lightning strikes. It is concluded that non-stationary wind events can give rise to large response of long span bridge structures and that this response can exceed that observed from the stationary wind field. Furthermore, historical data confirm that energetic squall lines are not uncommon in the UK. Therefore, the assumption of stationarity in predicting the wind induced response of long span bridges may be non-conservative and the climatology of large convective systems, such as squall lines, should be considered in assessing the wind hazard for these structures.