Abstract

The negative impact of absenteeism on organizations’ productivity and profitability is well established. To decrease absenteeism, it is imperative to understand its underlying causes and to identify susceptible employee subgroups. Most research studies apply hypotheses testing and regression models to identify features that are correlated with absenteeism—typically, these models are limited to finding simple correlations. We illustrate the use of interpretable classification algorithms for uncovering subgroups of employees with common characteristics and a similar level of absenteeism. This process may assist human resource managers in understanding the underlying reasons for absenteeism, which, in turn, could stimulate measures to decrease it. Our proposed methodology makes use of an objective-based information gain measure in conjunction with an ordinal CART model. Our results indicate that the ordinal CART model outperforms conventional classifiers and, more importantly, identifies patterns in the data that have not been revealed by other models. We demonstrate the importance of interpretability for human resource management through three examples. The main contributions of this research are (1) the development of an information-based ordinal classifier for a published absenteeism dataset and (2) the illustration of an interpretable approach that could be of considerable value in supporting human resource management decision-making.

Highlights

  • Absenteeism, in contrast to planned time off, may cause significant disruptions to organizations and may affect their productivity and profitability

  • The conventional statistical approaches focus on identifying features that are correlated with absenteeism across the whole dataset in contrast to the suggested entropy-based approach that discovers absenteeism patterns, as we demonstrate in this paper

  • This subsection compares the performance of the proposed Objective-Based Information Gain (OBIG)-based ordinal CART model with popular non-ordinal alternatives, some of which have been previously applied to the absenteeism at work dataset

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Summary

Introduction

Absenteeism, in contrast to planned time off, may cause significant disruptions to organizations and may affect their productivity and profitability. Absenteeism and its effects may be controlled by equipping human resource management with the ability to predict which groups of employees are most prone to absenteeism. Large-scale research on absenteeism can be traced back to the highly cited paper of Porter and Steers in 1973 [1]. They group the factors that affect absenteeism into (1) organizational, (2) immediate work-related, (3) job-related, and (4) personal. Soriano et al [2], who analyzed data from 1346 indoor office employees, confirmed that sets of factors that include “job satisfaction and health” and “job satisfaction and affective well-being” are significantly correlated with absenteeism.

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