An investigation of widespread ozone damage to the soybean crop in the upper Midwest determined from ground-based and satellite measurements

Abstract

Elevated concentrations of ground-level ozone (O 3) are frequently measured over farmland regions in many parts of the world. While numerous experimental studies show that O 3 can significantly decrease crop productivity, independent verifications of yield losses at current ambient O 3 concentrations in rural locations are sparse. In this study, soybean crop yield data during a 5-year period over the Midwest of the United States were combined with ground and satellite O 3 measurements to provide evidence that yield losses on the order of 10% could be estimated through the use of a multiple linear regression model. Yield loss trends based on both conventional ground-based instrumentation and satellite-derived tropospheric O 3 measurements were statistically significant and were consistent with results obtained from open-top chamber experiments and an open-air experimental facility (SoyFACE, Soybean Free Air Concentration Enrichment) in central Illinois. Our analysis suggests that such losses are a relatively new phenomenon due to the increase in background tropospheric O 3 levels over recent decades. Extrapolation of these findings supports previous studies that estimate the global economic loss to the farming community of more than $10 billion annually.