An integrated adaptive allocation model for unified optimization of conventional and unconventional water resources based on fairness and efficiency

Abstract

Unconventional water (UW) use has pros and cons, presenting the challenge of matching water utilization with regional water use characteristics. This study proposed the concept of amount-centered adaptive water allocation and built an integrated adaptive allocation model that includes conventional water (CW) and UW adaptability. The model consists of two modules. The first module introduces the regional composite index and inequality index to match CW and UW allocation amount with the sub-region’s characteristics. The second module defines the efficiency of CW and UW allocation, employs the Zero-Sum Gains Data Envelopment Analysis to find the solution set with the highest efficiency on the Pareto front, and further modifies it to reach the optimal allocation efficiency. Then the proposed model was applied to Jiangsu Province, China. Empirical and comparative analyses of the 54 weighting plans proved the validity and practicability of the model. The results showed: (1) The model tallies with the principles of fairness and efficiency and reduces the spatial heterogeneity of water shortage risk; (2) When available water supply decreases by over 20% due to future water-related emergency incidents, CW allocation would first reach its upper limit, while UW fails to effectively bridge the supply–demand gap; (3) Only by improving the maximum UW consumption by over 40% can the future risk of extreme water shortages be effectively addressed. The model proposed in this study has excellent practicality and application potential, providing a novel perspective for incorporating UW into the unified management of water resources.