An Estimation of Claims Distribution

Abstract

There are two phases of difficulties in estimating a claims distribution. If we are going to estimate the claims distribution as accurately as possible, we should gather considerably long terms statistics. While economical and social environment will change. As a result the statistics gathered should be amended by a kind of trend value. One of difficulties here is the estimation of that trend value. Another difficulty is the estimation of claims distribution as being the stochastic distribution. In the case of considering claim size, the estimation becomes more difficult.The intention of this paper is to propose an actual way of estimating stochastic claims distribution considering various kind of claim size by the use of a computer. Regarding the problem of amending claims distribution by a trend Value I will discuss at another time.