An Economic Analysis of the Factors Affecting the Organization and Cultivation of the Wheat Crop in Iraq Using Logistic Regression

Abstract

The research aimed to analyze the factors affecting the organization and cultivation of the wheat crop in Iraq by using one of the appropriate econometric analysis methods for this type of research, which is the logistic regression, through which it is possible to know the results of the application of agricultural legislation and the variables affecting compliance with those legislation as well as knowing the role of agricultural legislation in supporting policy steps agriculture in Iraq. The results showed that among the model variables, there was a set of factors described as the most influential on the farmer’s decision to adhere to the government agricultural plan, including the variable delay in receiving marketing amounts and the variable providing loans, as well as the variable value of the returns achieved in the presence of government support in favour of adhering to the agricultural plan. As for the farmers’ decision to market their crops to the state, it was found that the most influential variables were the commitment to the agricultural plan, the state’s selling price variable, and the total area. The research concluded that paying attention to the aspect of financing and providing agricultural loans to farmers will lead to farmers getting rid of the financial restrictions imposed on them by the private sector, and thus increasing the likelihood of their commitment to implementing agricultural legislation. Also, the continued provision of government support, especially in the aspect of output, will lead to an improvement in the level of farm income for farmers, which makes them needless to search for other means to obtain income and thus comply with the government legislation drawn up. The research recommended the need to work on improving the reality of agricultural crop production by providing government support for the use of modern technologies to increase production rates per unit area and achieve greater returns for farmers. As well as the need for a strict supervisory body working to ensure that farmers do not violate the government legislation imposed in order to regulate production and develop the agricultural sector.