An analysis of the need for pediatric surgeons in the United States

Abstract

A questionnaire study covering all major population areas in the United States indicated that pediatric surgeons and potentially capable hospitals are already well-distributed throughout the country. The estimation of need for pediatric surgeons based on the area questionnaires is close to the present number of surgeons. A computer analysis was made to project numbers of pediatric surgeons per unit population to the year 200 with differing levels of trainee output. The study indicates the 14–15 training programs are sufficient to allow for slow, modest growth of the specialty if current population trends continue.