Abstract
BackgroundPermutation testing is a robust and popular approach for significance testing in genomic research, which has the broad advantage of estimating significance non-parametrically, thereby safe guarding against inflated type I error rates. However, the computational efficiency remains a challenging issue that limits its wide application, particularly in genome-wide association studies (GWAS). Because of this, adaptive permutation strategies can be employed to make permutation approaches feasible. While these approaches have been used in practice, there is little research into the statistical properties of these approaches, and little guidance into the proper application of such a strategy for accurate p-value estimation at the GWAS level.MethodsIn this work, we advocate an adaptive permutation procedure that is statistically valid as well as computationally feasible in GWAS. We perform extensive simulation experiments to evaluate the robustness of the approach to violations of modeling assumptions and compare the power of the adaptive approach versus standard approaches. We also evaluate the parameter choices in implementing the adaptive permutation approach to provide guidance on proper implementation in real studies. Additionally, we provide an example of the application of adaptive permutation testing on real data.ResultsThe results provide sufficient evidence that the adaptive test is robust to violations of modeling assumptions. In addition, even when modeling assumptions are correct, the power achieved by adaptive permutation is identical to the parametric approach over a range of significance thresholds and effect sizes under the alternative. A framework for proper implementation of the adaptive procedure is also generated.ConclusionsWhile the adaptive permutation approach presented here is not novel, the current study provides evidence of the validity of the approach, and importantly provides guidance on the proper implementation of such a strategy. Additionally, tools are made available to aid investigators in implementing these approaches.
Highlights
Permutation testing is a robust and popular approach for significance testing in genomic research, which has the broad advantage of estimating significance non-parametrically, thereby safe guarding against inflated type I error rates
The number of successes is distributed as binomial: R∼Binðb; pÞ; and the estimate of p is p^ 1⁄4 R=b: Adaptive permutation: censored negative binomial distribution In the adaptive approach, permutation test statistics are sampled until either r of these statistics are larger than the observed statistic, or b total permutations are calculated with R total successes, where R < r
The bottom three panels show that ANOVA has an inflated type I error under the Student's t-distribution, especially for p-values smaller than 0.01, while both permutation tests are still valid
Summary
Permutation testing is a robust and popular approach for significance testing in genomic research, which has the broad advantage of estimating significance non-parametrically, thereby safe guarding against inflated type I error rates. In the classical form of the permutation test, the response is shuffled b times, and the test statistics are recorded for each permuted data set These test statistics are used to generate the distribution under the null hypothesis of no true association. In practice, it is often difficult to determine the appropriate asymptotic distribution or the sample size may not be large enough for asymptotic assumptions to hold, limiting the generality of this approach. In these situations, the permutation test has become an emerging attractive choice, in particular when the distribution is doubtful. As imputation tools have improved (from a methods development point of view, and with an increased number of reference genomes available), it is likely that many genome-wide association studies performed on early generation technologies will be reevaluated with imputed genotypes that cover more common variants, and less common or even rare variants
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