Abstract
Proposed alternatives scenarios methodology allows retrospective analysing of decarbonisation processes in 26 national Public Electricity and Heat Production (PEHP) sectors in EU, based on 1990..2016 national CO2 emission inventories. The CO2 emission driving forces for PEHP sectors were defined and investigated in 26 years emission pathways approach. Graphical overview of 108 prepared (real and alternatives) emission pathways allow assessing CO2 emission factors impact, pathways grouping and indicating the dominant pathway of 1990..2016 decarbonisation in EU national PEHP sectors. The alternatives scenarios methodology based on historical data enables to drawn lessons from past to move the European PEHP into a low-carbon future.
Highlights
Introduction and scopeThe European Union (EU) Member States, bound by the Climate Package policy, meet the national targets to reduce CO2 emissions compared to 1990 as a base level [1]
Published 1990..2016 inventories data [2] display the distribution of total EU CO2 emission from fuels combustion by economic sectors, pointing permanently the Public Electricity and Heat Production (PEHP) as a most emissive sector with over one third of European CO2 emission
The chart presents four 1990..2016 year-by-year emission pathways according to the developed alternative scenarios methodology
Summary
Introduction and scopeThe European Union (EU) Member States, bound by the Climate Package policy, meet the national targets to reduce CO2 emissions compared to 1990 as a base level [1]. In 26 years period, the reduction of CO2 emission from fuel combustion was achieved in EU by 21.6% with simultaneously decrease in PEHP sector by 29.3%. PEHP is one of the well-controllably sectors of EU economy with a highly-centralized structure based on large-scale energy sources. It permits to realize the large-scale and long-life time [3] improvements in path with top-down management way with significant impact for region and EU scale. With so considerable share in CO2 emission and large decarbonisation potential the PEHP sector plays an important role on national economies, legislation and technology level [3,4,5,6,7,8] for moving Europe to the low-carbon future
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