Abstract

At the heart of airline flight safety management is a systematic approach to identifying hazards and controlling risk factors, which ICAO requires to collect, analyze all deviations in the activities of units, services and personnel airlines and use of its results to develop and implement management activities. That kind of the system enables the organization to predict and fix problems before they lead to an aviation accident. Thus, the organizational management structure should ensure high efficiency, reliability and completeness of the control over all components that ensure the process of the air transportation: the course of transportation, the clear operation of all units in the uninterrupted transport process and their correct matching. In modern conditions, this result is achieved based on a process approach, when the company’s activities are presented as a set of production processes (activities). For each of these areas, the airline has appropriate management systems that are developed, certified, implemented and operated in accordance with international standards. As a result of the interaction of these processes, the goals of the aviation enterprise, which determine its competitiveness, are achieved.

Highlights

  • Multifactorial causes of accident and cause-and-effect of events in flight are an important issue

  • At the heart of airline flight safety management is a systematic approach to identifying hazards and controlling risk factors, which ICAO requires to collect, analyze all deviations in the activities of units, services and personnel airlines and use of its results to develop and implement management activities

  • In order to increase the relative level of flight safety, we introduce the criterion scale factor: M = 105

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Summary

Introduction

Multifactorial causes of accident and cause-and-effect of events in flight are an important issue. The model based on semantic theory is a convenient means for formalizing the problem under consideration– using the appropriate mathematical apparatus can solve this problem analytically We apply this approach in the development of an algorithm to analyze deviations in conditions of uncertainty. A generalized algorithm for analyzing deviations in the functioning of airline elements in order to develop measures aimed at increasing the level of flight safety, in view of its cumbersome nature, is not given in the article. The risk management system associated with deviations in the airline’s activities solves the problem of reducing its impact on the flight safety to an acceptable level. The proposed algorithm can be used in the creation of an automated expert system for analyzing relationships in the functioning of airline elements

Method for calculating the relative criterion of the airline flight safety
Quantitative assessment of the level of safety using the concept of risk
III IV
Conclusions
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