Abstract

The optimal criteria to select individuals with type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1D) and albuminuric or normoalbuminuric diabetic kidney disease (DKD), who are at risk of rapid kidney function decline, for clinical trials are unclear. This study analyzed data from the Preventing Early Renal Loss in Diabetes (PERL) clinical trial, which investigated whether allopurinol slowed kidney function decline in persons with T1D and early-to-moderate DKD. Rates of iohexol GFR (iGFR) and estimated GFR (eGFR) decline during the three-year study were compared by linear mixed effect regression between participants enrolled based on a history of moderately or severely increased albuminuria (N=394) and those enrolled based on a recent history of rapid kidney function decline (≥3 ml/min/1.73 m2/year) in the absence of a history of albuminuria (N=124). The association between baseline albuminuria and iGFR/eGFR decline during the trial was also evaluated. Rates of eGFR decline during the trial were higher in participants with a history of albuminuria than in those with a history of rapid kidney function decline (-3.56 [95% confidence intervals {CI} -3.17, -3.95] versus -2.35 [95% CI: -1.86, -2.84] ml/min/1.73 m2/year, p=0.001). Results were similar for iGFR decline, although the difference was not significant (p=0.07). Within the history of albuminuria group, the rate of eGFR decline was -5.30 (95% CI -4.52, -6.08) ml/min/1.73m2/year in participants with severely increased albuminuria as compared to -2.97 (95% CI 2.44, -3.50) and -2.32 (95% CI -1.61, -3.03) ml/min/1.73m2/year in those with moderately increased or normal/mildly increased albuminuria at baseline (p<0.001). Severely increased albuminuria at screening is a powerful criterion for selecting persons with T1D at high risk of kidney function decline. A history of rapid eGFR decline without a history of albuminuria is less effective for this purpose but it can still identify individuals with T1D who will lose kidney function more rapidly than expected from physiological aging. ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT02017171.

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