Abstract
Abstract The production of biodiesel from rapeseed in Germany has been conceptualized using the complex adaptive systems (CAS) theory and formalized using the agent-based modelling approach (ABM). The ABM incorporates farmer’s decisions on market choice, and biodiesel producer’s decisions on biofuel production and capacity expansion. The ABM was calibrated to replicate the pattern in the evolution of rapeseed, wheat, and biodiesel production in Germany in the period 1992-2012. It was found that complex adaptive systems theory could be used as a conceptual framework to analyse supply chains. In the specific case of biofuels supply chains, where it has been proven that exist due to subsidies and incentives from governments, the agent based modelling approach could be an important tool to analyse the impact of different policies.
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