Abstract

The Ramsey test is the idea Frank Ramsey first expressed in 1929, that when people accept a conditional 'if A then C' they are 'fixing their degree of belief in C given A'. Later writers have taken the idea to apply only to indicative conditionals, and have interpreted it as saying that, as Allan Gibbard put it, 'the acceptability, assertability, and the like ... of an indicative conditional ... depend upon the corresponding subjective conditional probability'. It is at the heart of Ernest Adams's account of conditionals, and Vann McGee asserts that Adams's account 'describes what English speakers assert and accept with unfailing accuracy'. Take 'depend on' to mean covariance, that the higher the conditional probability the higher the assertability, and call it Simple Ramsey. Jonathan Bennett (2003: 29) develops the idea as follows:

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