Afghanistan fuel market prediction

Abstract

Afghanistan is an underdeveloped country with a good rebuilding and developing potential. As it is clear that the amount of energy consumption of each country directly affects its economy and GDP. All economic activities are directly or indirectly linked to the energy sector. That is why the energy sector is considered the bone stone of the development of countries as well as a means to achieving sustainable economic development.   Accurate evaluation and studying of the energy market and prediction of the energy market of the future is critical to taking proper decisions, making effective and applicable energy policies and goals regarding energy policies; consequently, it will have a huge influence on the economic and political future of a country. Fossil fuel has a huge share among the energy consumption sources, as well as playing the main role in running of the power sector, transportation sector, and industrial sectors. Exports of fossil fuel are also somehow linked to a proper analysis of the internal demand and production rate and capacity in the future. In this research, we present Afghanistan’s fuel demand and prediction of the demand by 2032, based on 3 scenarios. It has been the first time that such research is performed in Afghanistan. It will enable energy and fossil fuel sectors to use, analyze, and explore the findings of this research for the purpose of strategic planning and export and import predictions.