Advanced intelligence frameworks for predicting maximum pitting corrosion depth in oil and gas pipelines

Abstract

The main objective of this paper is to develop accurate novel frameworks for the estimation of the maximum pitting corrosion depth in oil and gas pipelines based on data-driven techniques. Thus, different advanced approaches using Artificial Intelligence (AI) models were applied, including Artificial Neural Network (ANN), M5 Tree (M5Tree), Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS), Locally Weighted Polynomials (LWP), Kriging (KR), and Extreme Learning Machines (ELM). Additionally, a total of 259 measurement samples of maximum pitting corrosion depth for pipelines located in different environments were extracted from the literature and used for developing the AI-models in terms of training and testing.Furthermore, an investigation was carried out on the relationship between the maximum pitting depths and several combinations of probable factors that induce the pitting growth process such as the pipeline age, and the surrounding environmental properties. The results of the proposed AI-frameworks were compared using various criteria. Thus, statistical, uncertainty and external validation analyses were utilized to compare the efficiency and accuracy of the proposed AI-models and to investigate the main contributing factors for accurate predictions of the maximum pitting depth in the oil and gas pipeline.