Abstract
Abstract Smart grids utilize advanced communication, information, and control technologies to build a more friendly power supply system. However, the development of technology leads to the increasing complexity of smart meter (SM) data in the power grid, and analyzing SM data becomes difficult. Therefore, in order to realize the effective analysis and forecasting of users’ electricity consumption behavior, an SM data analysis technique integrating the Internet of Things and artificial intelligence is proposed, which contains three major techniques: meter reading systems, load clustering, and load forecasting, and at last the technique is validated. Finally, the technology is validated. The experimental results showed that the average value of the Davis-Balding index for the proposed method combining recursive graphs and convolutional autoencoders was 1.87, which was significantly lower than the average value of 2.35 for other methods. The average value of the Dunn index was 0.086, which was higher than the 0.065 for the comparison method. In the load forecasting model, the model that employs multi-task learning and a gated cycle unit demonstrates superior performance across all comparison schemes, with the lowest average absolute percentage error of 12.90%. This is significantly lower than the comparison model’s 15.35%, which highlights the enhanced efficacy of the proposed model. The study realizes the effective analysis and prediction of consumers’ electricity consumption behavior and provides new ideas and solutions for the optimization and management of smart grids.
Published Version
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