Abstract
SummaryBackgroundIn 2016, the UN General Assembly set a global target of 3 million oral pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) users by 2020. With this target at an end, we aimed to assess global trends in the adoption of WHO PrEP recommendations into national guidelines and numbers of PrEP users, defined as people who received oral PrEP at least once in a given year, and to estimate future trajectories of PrEP use.MethodsIn this global summary and forecasting study, data on adoption of WHO PrEP recommendations and numbers of PrEP users were obtained through the Global AIDS Monitoring system and WHO regional offices. Trends in these indicators for 2016–19 by region and for 2019 by country were described, including by gender and priority populations where data were available. PrEP user numbers were forecasted until 2023 by selecting countries with at least 3 years of PrEP user data as example countries in each region to represent possible future PrEP user trajectories. PrEP user growth rates observed in example countries were applied to countries in corresponding regions under different scenarios, including a COVID-19 disruption scenario with static global PrEP use in 2020.FindingsBy the end of 2019, 120 (67%) of 180 countries with data had adopted the WHO PrEP recommendations into national guidelines (23 in 2019 and 30 in 2018). In 2019, there were about 626 000 PrEP users across 77 countries, including 260 000 (41·6%) in the region of the Americas and 213 000 (34·0%) in the African region; this is a 69% increase from about 370 000 PrEP users across 66 countries in 2018. Without COVID-19 disruptions, 0·9–1·1 million global PrEP users were projected by the end of 2020 and 2·4–5·3 million are projected by the end of 2023. If COVID-19 disruptions resulted in no PrEP user growth in 2020, the projected number of PrEP users in 2023 is 2·1–3·0 million.InterpretationWidespread adoption of WHO PrEP recommendations coincided with a global increase in PrEP use. Although the 2020 global PrEP target will be missed, strong future growth in PrEP use is possible. New PrEP products could expand the PrEP user base, and, with greater expansion of oral PrEP, further adoption of WHO PrEP recommendations, and simplified delivery, PrEP could contribute to ending AIDS by 2030.FundingUnitaid, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, and WHO.
Highlights
The efficacy of oral pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) with tenofovir-based antiviral medication to prevent the acquisition of HIV in uninfected people has been shown in randomised controlled trials across settings and populations.[1]
Using a comprehensive and validated dataset compiled through the Global AIDS Monitoring system and WHO, we showed that, by the end of 2019, 120 countries had adopted the WHO PrEP recommendations into national guidelines and that there were about 626 000 PrEP users in 77 countries
Within 1 year of WHO recommending oral PrEP for anyone at substantial HIV risk, 26 countries had adopted the recommendations into national guidelines, rising to e506 www.thelancet.com/hiv Vol 8 August 2021
Summary
The efficacy of oral pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) with tenofovir-based antiviral medication to prevent the acquisition of HIV in uninfected people has been shown in randomised controlled trials across settings and populations.[1]. In 2016, the UN General Assembly set a global target of 3 million oral pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) users by 2020. With this target at an end, we aimed to assess global trends in the adoption of WHO PrEP recommendations into national guidelines and numbers of PrEP users, defined as people who received oral PrEP at least once in a given year, and to estimate future trajectories of PrEP use
Sign-in/Register to view highlights & summary Sign-in/Register to access full text options 
Free) 
Talk to us
Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have
Schedule a call
