Adaptation to climate variability and household welfare outcomes in Uganda

Abstract

Over the last one decade, most of the empirical studies on climate variability have largely concentrated on assessing the effect of climate variability on agriculture. Little attention has been given to the analysis of what factors determine the decision to adapt to climate variability and what impact does it has on welfare of the adapting households. This paper therefore, assesses the determinants of adaptation to climate variability and how it influences welfare of the farming households in Uganda. To achieve this, the study utilizes six waves of Uganda National Panel survey collected by Uganda Bureau of Statistics spanning over a period of 10 years from 2009 to 2019 and the switching regression model for empirical analysis. The findings indicate that adapting to climate variability is beneficial to adaptors as it safeguards welfare deterioration. On the other hand, presence of climate variability, age of the household head, the value of household assets, location, formal land ownership, having main occupation as agriculture and availability of extension services were identified as key determinants of the decision to adapt to climate variability among farming households in Uganda. These findings thus highlight the importance to have measures to improve adaptation process at the same time enhancing household welfare.