Abstract

Acute and chronic water scarcity impacts four billion people, a number likely to climb with population growth and increasing demand for food and energy production. Chronic water insecurity and long-term trends are well studied at the global and regional level; however, there have not been adequate systems in place for routinely monitoring acute water scarcity. To address this gap, we developed a monthly monitoring system that computes annual water availability per capita based on hydrologic data from the Famine Early Warning System Network (FEWS NET) Land Data Assimilation System (FLDAS) and gridded population data from WorldPop. The monitoring system yields maps of acute water scarcity using monthly Falkenmark classifications and departures from the long-term mean classification. These maps are designed to serve FEWS NET monitoring objectives; however, the underlying data are publicly available and can support research on the roles of population and hydrologic change on water scarcity at sub-annual and sub-national scales.

Highlights

  • Reliable and up-to-date information about chronic and acute water scarcity is a much-needed resource for tackling regional and global water issues

  • We ask questions regarding the sensitivity of water scarcity to both supply and demand

  • The primary goal of this paper is to describe the routine water scarcity monitoring system

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Summary

Introduction

Reliable and up-to-date information about chronic and acute water scarcity is a much-needed resource for tackling regional and global water issues. An estimated four billion people currently face water scarcity [1]. By 2030 global population may reach 9 billion [2], and demands on domestic, industrial and agricultural water needs are expected to substantially increase during that time, potentially by 40% [3]. In chronic water-scarcity areas, where demand persistently or seasonally exceeds supply, higher population and increased sectoral demands will likely require new strategies to strengthen long-term resilience. Shorter-term, water-scarcity issues, droughts will continue to pose challenges in many regions. This study describes a resource that can inform decision making on water scarcity issues

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