Abstract

This article presents the idea of modelling and supporting the decision-making process in the field of development directions of a sustainable transport system in a metropolitan area. The global COVID-19 pandemic is causing changes in the perception of the public transport system by passengers. Users’ concerns for their own safety may lead to a shift away from public transport. Policy makers are advised to pay attention to these new phenomena that are hindering the development of sustainable transport in urban areas. Thus, many projects for the development of sustainable urban transport mobility, prepared before COVID-19, require re-analysis and adaptation to the decision-making processes of choosing the preferred means of transport by citizens. The scientific aim of this article was to develop a mathematical model based on the hybrid DEMATEL-PROMETHEE II method, supporting city decision-makers in the decision-making process regarding the selection of appropriate measures supporting the development of sustainable transport. The issues covered in the article include economic, informational and legal aspects, including electromobility, the principles of a low-emission society, and sustainable collective transport. The model was prepared for the needs of the Szczecin Metropolitan Area, where the construction of the Szczecin Metropolitan Railway, delayed by COVID-19, is underway and is to be the main axis of the public transport system. Finally, the article provides a ranking of groups of measures, dimensions and criteria that should be taken into account by decision-makers and planners in the modified plans for the sustainable development of metropolitan transport systems in the period after COVID-19.

Highlights

  • Frequency of agglomerations increased road repair works and a potential reduction in the number of journeys by means of public transport always result in a loss of trust in public transport services

  • This unit demonstrates the practical use of the proposed method to evaluate sustainable metropolitan transport in the Szczecin Metropolitan Area

  • Based on the literature review, the sets of three instruments (Table 1) together with fifteen criteria and three dimensions (Table 2) to be implemented in a metropolitan area in order to facilitate the implementation of the principles of sustainable transport are discussed

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Summary

Introduction

Frequency of agglomerations increased road repair works and a potential reduction in the number of journeys by means of public transport always result in a loss of trust in public transport services. This is a process that goes against the sustainable mobility development plans. Rebuilding this trust is likely to take quite a long time, and the outcome is not obvious. Policymakers need rather to be prepared to modify transport development plans [6] and adapt them to a permanent change in passenger attitudes [7]. Decision-makers should focus on rebuilding people’s trust in safety when using public transport, in accordance with sustainable mobility development plans [8], after the COVID-19 period [9].

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