Abstract

Universities are committed to offering quality education; however, a high rate of academic failure is often observed in the first year of studies. Considering the impact that motivation and emotional aspects can have on students’ commitment to study and therefore on their academic performance, achievement, and well-being, this study aims to identify the factors associated with academic success or failure in 1071 students entering the National Polytechnic School (Quito, Ecuador). The data were compiled from the existing computer records of the university with the permission of the responsible administrative staff. A predictive model has been used and a binary logistic regression analysis was carried out through the step-forward regression procedure based on the Wald statistic to analyze the predictive capacity of the variables related to emotional intelligence, motivational and self- regulated socio-cognitive skills, goal orientation, and prior academic achievement (measured by university entrance marks and through a knowledge test carried out at the beginning of the university academic year). To determine the cut-off point for the best discriminatory power of each of the variables, a Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC) curve analysis has been used. The results indicate that the variables that are significant in the prediction of academic success or failure are the two academic performance measures: the emotional attention variable, and the performance-approach goals and the motivational self-efficacy variable. Additionally, the highest predictive power is displayed by the prior academic performance measure obtained through the knowledge test conducted at the beginning of the university course.

Highlights

  • Universities are committed to providing quality education and it is imperative to constantly analyze if there are any existing problems to ensure that action can be taken to address these [1]

  • Higher education institutions in Latin-America have the objective of contributing to social development [5]; they have great interest in improving the training offered to students as well as improving success rates

  • If higher education institutions offer a concrete reinforcement by providing students with the resources and strategies necessary to successfully complete their training, this would avoid a loss of talent and a loss of possible good professionals from the world of work

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Summary

Introduction

Universities are committed to providing quality education and it is imperative to constantly analyze if there are any existing problems to ensure that action can be taken to address these [1]. This evaluation highlights various research questions, student failure manifested especially during the first year of studies being one of the most significant [2]. If higher education institutions offer a concrete reinforcement by providing students with the resources and strategies necessary to successfully complete their training, this would avoid a loss of talent and a loss of possible good professionals from the world of work. Given that governments invest a lot of resources in public and community colleges and on student grants, high dropout rates mean that a lot of these invested resources have been lost

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