Abstract WMP55: HIV Viral Load and Stroke Risk

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Background: Among people living with HIV (PLWH), elevated plasma HIV RNA (viral load, [VL]), indicative of increased inflammation, may be associated with greater risk of stroke. Methods: Among adult PLWH receiving clinical care at six Centers for AIDS Research Network of Integrated Clinical Systems (CNICS) sites across the U.S. from January 2006 through January 2015, first ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke was identified from adjudicated clinical events. We considered baseline and time-updated VL. Baseline viral load was defined as the most recent viral load before 2006 or at CNICS cohort entry (if after 2006). Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess the relationship between baseline VL and time-updated VL and stroke. We estimated hazard ratios for risk of stroke (all stroke, and ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke separately) comparing the 75 th percentile of VL (“high VL”) to the 25 th percentile (“low VL”). All models were adjusted for age, sex, race/ethnicity, CNICS site, diabetes, treated hypertension, statin use, smoking, nadir CD4, BMI, hepatitis C virus coinfection, and baseline ART use. The hemorrhagic stroke model was also adjusted for FIB-4. Results: Among 16,648 PLWH over an average follow-up of 4.7 years, there were 146 total strokes (119 ischemic; 19 hemorrhagic). At baseline, the median VL was 41 copies/mL (IQR: 24, 3860). Individuals with high baseline VL were 1.57 times more likely to have a stroke than individuals with low baseline VL (95% CI: 1.22, 2.04). In addition, high baseline VL was associated with increased risk of ischemic stroke (HR: 1.48; 95% CI: 1.11, 1.97) and hemorrhagic stroke (HR: 2.5; 95% CI: 1.25, 4.98). The HR for all strokes comparing high VL and low VL individuals using time-updated VL was 1.84 (95% CI: 1.42-2.40). Conclusion: Our findings suggest that higher VL is associated with stroke risk after adjusting for traditional stroke risk factors, and may have a greater impact on incidence of hemorrhagic stroke. In addition to reducing HIV-related morbidity and mortality, improving HIV care may also reduce stroke risk.