Abstract

Introduction: Several studies have evaluated prognostic value of heart rate (HR) change during hospitalization in patients with acute heart failure (AHF). However, the relationship between HR change in early phase after admission and prognosis have not been fully elucidated. Hypothesis: The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of HR change in early phase in patients with AHF. Methods: We used a data of multicenter retrospective registry for the consecutive hospitalized patients due to AHF since January 2012 to March 2019. Patients were divided into three groups according to tertiles of HR at admission: lower tertile, HR <85 bpm; middle tertile, HR 85-108 bpm; higher tertile, HR >108 bpm. And, (HR [at admission] - HR [at 12 hour after admission]) * 100 / HR [at admission] was calculated as HR change (%). Results: Total of 1625 patients were analyzed. The median HR at admission was 96 bpm, and HR decreased to 81 bpm at 12 hours after admission (p < 0.001). Larger HR change was observed according to increase in HR at admission (HR change; lower tertile, 1.0%; middle tertile, 12.5%, higher tertile, 38.0%, p < 0.001). In Kaplan-Meier analysis, the cumulative event-free rates in the composite endpoint of death and re-hospitalization due to AHF showed better according to higher HR at admission (p < 0.001, log-rank) (Figure). After dividing the patient into two groups in each tertiles based on the median HR change, the cumulative event-free rates were comparable between higher HR change group and lower HR change group in all tertiles (Figure). Cox proportional hazards analysis showed that HR change was not the independent predictors of composite endpoint adjusted by covariates in each tertile (lower tertile, p = 0.81; middle tertile, p = 0.78; higher tertile, p = 0.90). Conclusions: HR decreased significantly until 12 hours after admission. However, HR change in early phase did not have prognostic value in patients with AHF.

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