Abstract

Modern medicine has made great advances in the cure of numerous diseases, but still its more remarkable results lie in the field of prevention. The early detection of an epidemic’s outbreak is of an outmost importance in order to avoid the epidemic’s spread. Since we do not possess a single detection method that would perfectly apply to all cases it is fundamental to know in advance how precise our opted method’s results will be. In this paper a validation of two temporal disease clusters tests with the simple epidemic model is presented. Additionally, the behavior of both methods is analyzed when risk factors are added in.

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