Abstract

ObjectivesSystemic inflammatory response and survival has not been evaluated as a predictive factor of chemotherapy in metastatic pancreatic cancer. The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic and predictive value of a baseline Systemic Inflammation Response Index (SIRI) in metastatic pancreatic cancer. MethodsRetrospective study of 164 metastatic pancreatic cancer patients. Associations between overall survival (OS), progression free survival (PFS), chemotherapy and SIRI were analyzed. SIRI is defined by neutrophil x monocyte/lymphocyte 109/L. ResultsMedian age 66 years. 22 (13%) received mFOLFIRINOX, 59 (36%) gemcitabine + nab-paclitaxel, 40 (24%) gemcitabine, 13 (8%) other regimens and 30 (18%) had not received treatment. Patients with SIRI<2.3 × 109/L showed a statistically significant improvement in OS compared to SIRI≥2.3 × 109/L [16 months versus 4.8 months, Hazard Ratio (HR) 2.87, Confidence Interval (CI) 95% 2.02–4.07, p < 0.0001] that was confirmed in multivariate analysis. In addition, patients with SIRI<2.3 × 109 showed a longer PFS (12 versus 6 months, HR 1.92, IC 95% 1.314–2.800, P = 0.001). Furthermore, we observed that patients with SIRI ≥2.3 × 109/L were more likely to benefit from mFOLFIRINOX therapy. Patients with an elevated SIRI treated with mFOLFIRINOX versus gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel and gemcitabine showed a clinically and statistically significant difference in median OS of 17 months compared to 6 and 4 months respectively (p < 0.001). Conversely, the difference was not clinically significant in the SIRI<2.3 × 109/L subgroup: 15.9 months versus 16.5 and 16, respectively. ConclusionAn elevated SIRI (≥2.3 × 109/L) was an independent prognostic factor for patients with metastatic pancreatic cancer, warranting prospective evaluation.

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