Abstract
Understanding the impacts of CV&C2 (climate variability and change) on electricity systems is paramount for operators preparing for weather-related disruptions, policymakers deciding on future directions of energy policies and European decision makers shaping research programs. This study conducted a systematic literature review to collate consistent patterns of impacts of CV&C on electricity systems in Europe. We found that, in the absence of adaptation and for current capacity, thermal electricity generation will decrease for the near term to mid-21st century3 (NT-MC) and the end of the 21st century4 (EC). In contrast, renewable electricity generation will increase for hydroelectricity in Northern Europe (NT-MC and EC), for solar electricity in Germany (NT-MC) and the United Kingdom and Spain (NT-MC and EC) and for wind electricity in the Iberian Peninsula (NT-MC) and over the Baltic and Aegean Sea (NT-MC and EC). Although the knowledge frontier in this area has advanced, the evidence available remains patchy. Future assessments should not only address some of the gaps identified but also better contextualise their results against those of earlier assessments. This review could provide a starting point for doing so.
Highlights
Sustainability Research Institute and ESRC Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds LS2 9JT, United Kingdom article info
Understanding the impacts of CV&C2 on electricity systems is paramount for operators preparing for weather-related disruptions, policymakers deciding on future directions of energy policies and European decision makers shaping research programs
In the absence of adaptation and for current capacity, thermal electricity generation will decrease for the near term to mid-21st century3 (NT-MC) and the end of the 21st century4 (EC)
Summary
Understanding the impacts of CV&C2 (climate variability and change) on electricity systems is paramount for operators preparing for weather-related disruptions, policymakers deciding on future directions of energy policies and European decision makers shaping research programs. This study conducted a systematic literature review to collate consistent patterns of impacts of CV&C on electricity systems in Europe. Understanding the impacts of CV&C (climate variability and change) on electricity systems is increasingly important for electricity companies providing such critical services, and for policymakers in charge of ensuring the security of a country's electricity supply. The global impacts of CV&C on the energy sector have been explored in the literature [9,14], the impacts of CV&C on the electricity systems have received less attention and regional, national and local assessments are still rare [10]. Schaeffer et al [46] explore the literature on the impacts of CV&C on resource endowments, energy supply, and energy use and infrastructure
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