A study on whether deep learning models based on CT images for bone density classification and prediction can be used for opportunistic osteoporosis screening.

Abstract

To explore the feasibility of using deep learning to establish a model for osteoporosis classification and bone density value prediction based on opportunistic CT scans and to verify its generalization and diagnostic ability using an independent test set. A total of 1219 cases of opportunistic CT scans were included in this study, with QCT results as the reference standard. The training set: test set: independent test set ratio was 703: 176: 340, and the independent test set data of 340 cases were from 3 different hospitals and 4 different CT scanners. The VB-Net structure automatic segmentation model was used to segment the trabecular bone, and DenseNet was used to establish a three-classification model and bone density value prediction regression model. The performance parameters of the models were calculated and evaluated. The ROC curves showed that the mean AUCs of the three-category classification model for categorizing cases into "normal," "osteopenia," and "osteoporosis" for the training set, test set, and independent test set were 0.999, 0.970, and 0.933, respectively. The F1 score, accuracy, precision, recall, precision, and specificity of the test set were 0.903, 0.909, 0.899, 0.908, and 0.956, respectively, and those of the independent test set were 0.798, 0.815, 0.792, 0.81, and 0.899, respectively. The MAEs of the bone density prediction regression model in the training set, test set, and independent test set were 3.15, 6.303, and 10.257, respectively, and the RMSEs were 4.127, 8.561, and 13.507, respectively. The R-squared values were 0.991, 0.962, and 0.878, respectively. The Pearson correlation coefficients were 0.996, 0.981, and 0.94, respectively, and the p values were all < 0.001. The predicted values and bone density values were highly positively correlated, and there was a significant linear relationship. Using deep learning neural networks to process opportunistic CT scan images of the body can accurately predict bone density values and perform bone density three-classification diagnosis, which can reduce the radiation risk, economic consumption, and time consumption brought by specialized bone density measurement, expand the scope of osteoporosis screening, and have broad application prospects.