Abstract

According to the basic characteristics of a socialist modernization state in China, Chinas modernization aims for a harmonious coexistence between humans and nature. China strives to achieve carbon peaking by 2030. Therefore, this article mainly focuses on the connection between the electric vehicle industry chain and the Chinese-style modernization, as well as an empirical analysis of Chinas 2030 carbon peaking goal. This article divides Chinas green modernization measurement into two parts. In the first part, Chinas green modernization can be measured by the level of modernization in each province. The article uses PCA (Principal Component Analysis) to reduce data dimensions and analyze correlations among selected indicators. Then, the Six-factor TOPSIS-Entropy Method is utilized for weight evaluation to calculate the level of modernization in different provinces, resulting in an overall domestic modernization level of 65.741%. In the second part, an empirical analysis of Chinas commitment to achieving carbon peaking by 2030 is conducted. An improved SIRD-NM dynamic model is employed to predict the number of new energy vehicles, and then the feasibility of achieving the commitment is studied. The results indicate that the contribution of the development of new energy vehicles to carbon peaking reaches 5.42%. China has a high feasibility of achieving carbon peaking by 2030.

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