Abstract

Accurate prediction of ice resistance plays an important role in ensuring the safety of ship navigation when sailing in ice regions. This paper focuses on the design of a data generation deep learning model and an interpretable ice resistance prediction deep learning model. By selecting the appropriate ship, ice parameters and model experimental data to build the dataset, the influence of different data preprocessing methods on the model results are discussed. The processed data is expanded by Deep Convolutional Generative Adversarial Network (DCGAN). On this basis, a Graph Neural Network (GNN) is built to explain the distribution of network weights and the generalization effect of the model. The established model (GNN-DCGAN) and several ice resistance prediction methods are compared and analyzed. In addition, the design of polar ships needs to comprehensively consider the dynamic changes of ship design parameters and the mechanical properties of ice. In this paper, taking MT UIKKU as an example, the parameter sensitivity analysis is carried out to study the scope of application of the model and the contribution of different parameters. The results show that the DCGAN method can improve the prediction accuracy and application scope of GNN model. The predictions exhibit a high level of agreement with the experimental data, which can provide valuable references for the design of ship in ice regions.

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