Abstract
The universe is facing heavily the evil effects of Global warming, which is a burning issue today. With the advancement of civilization, new industries have been set-up to enhance production as per the need of society along with the population explosion. India is familiar as a developing country in the world, and at present, India has a significant contribution to the augmentation of Greenhouse Gases in the environment, which induces global warming. Global warming has serious effects of worsening the environment. It causes the melting of ice, extinction of species, prevalance of several fatal diseases, loss of biodiversity etc. In this paper, we develop a statistical model that analyzes and predicts the trend of emission of Carbon dioxide in Himachal Pradesh, Punjab, and Haryana. For this purpose, we have considered the dataset of 21 years of gas emission and tried to fit a fourth-degree polynomial curve by the least square method. We have tried to sketch a comparative scenario of carbon-dioxide emissions in the chosen states along with the forecast of the long-term evolutionary trend of the emission. The Instantaneous Rate of Change (IROC)analysis has been employed for this purpose. The efficacies of the model have been tested by residual analysis, coefficient of determination R2, and adjusted R2.
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