A spatial optimal allocation method considering multi-attribute decision making and multiple BMPs random combination in sub-watersheds

Abstract

Best management practices (BMPs) have been extensively employed in effective watershed management for non-point source pollution. The weights of objective functions and the restrictive conditions of combined BMPs are the vital requirements for BMPs allocation. Therefore, it is more beneficial to explore that a spatial optimal allocation method considering multi-attribute decision making and multiple BMPs random combination. Here is the novel framework based on Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) and the Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm II (NSGA-Ⅱ), which considers multiple objectives in deriving watershed-scale pollution control practices by considering BMPs cost and combined reduction rates of total nitrogen (TN) and total phosphorus (TP). The framework also integrates combined Entropy Weight method (EWM) and Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) to solve the weights of TN and TP, and considers the attributes of the sub-basin itself, which is more local suitability. Four categories of BMPs, tillage management, nutrient management, vegetative filter strips, and landscape management, were evaluated in the Jing River Basin (JRB) and resulted in reduction rates of 9.77%, 10.53%, 16.40%, and 14.27% averagely, respectively. BMP allocation schemes, derived from multi-objective optimization, are stratified into three financial scenarios. Low-cost scenario, costing up to 2 billion RMB, primarily targets the grain for green program in 28.81% of sub-basins. Medium-cost scenario, between 2 and 6 billion RMB, predominantly utilizes the grain for green in areas with a slope greater than 15°, accounting for 20.00% of sub-basins. High-cost scenario exceeds 6 billion RMB, mainly due to the implementation of multiple combination measures. The three configuration scenarios can provide decision-makers with a trade-off between measure costs and reduction efficiency. Overall, the innovative framework not only facilitates cost-effective implementation but provides a beneficial methodology for selecting cost-effective conservation practices in other regions.