A Short Term Forecasting Method for Regional Power Consumption Considering Related Factors

Abstract

Analysis and prediction of power consumption law is the basis of power grid planning and construction, and is also an effective guide for energy demand side management. With the rapid development of economy and the complex change of industrial structure in recent years, the internal structure of power demand is changing to some extent. Therefore, a short-term forecasting method of regional electricity consumption considering the related factors is proposed. Based on the analysis results, a short-term prediction model of regional electricity consumption considering the related factors is established, and the short-term prediction is realized by the calculation of the model. Through the example analysis, it is verified that the forecasting deviation of the short-term forecasting method is low and meets the basic requirements of electric quantity forecasting.